Tucson compared to similar cities under a Baseline Economic Scenario for the Transit Upzoning Policy Scenario

Across all policy and economic scenarios, Tucson's projected development is between 8 and 10% of San Diego and between 15 and 20% of Denver's. However, these margins shift depending on the economy: in favorable conditions, Tucson's growth can reach roughly 14% of San Diego's.

Note: Each city is modeled independently against the status quo. Values represent individual city impacts, not cumulative effects.

+30%

+49%

+12%

+30%

+49%

+12%

Percent change from status quo in expected units per year